What To Expect From The Price Of Bitcoin?

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19 Feb 2024
35


The price of Bitcoin has fallen slightly in recent hours and at the time of writing this article it was trading in the $51,654 area with decreased trading volume, indicating a decline in interest among traders. On the other hand, the Crypto Fear & Greed index reaches β€œExtreme Greed” with an approximate value of 76, suggesting a possible liquidation of the cryptocurrency market in the coming days. However, despite these negative factors, there are some signs of optimism for the future of Bitcoin. On the one hand, Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded a net inflow of $323.90 million on Friday, and inflows since their launch have reached almost $5 billion. This demonstrates the great interest and confidence of institutional and retail investors in the potential of Bitcoin as an investment asset.



On the other hand, the adoption of Bitcoin as a means of payment and store of value continues to grow around the world, especially in countries with economic and/or political problems, such as El Salvador, Cuba, Venezuela, Argentina, Turkey and Nigeria. These countries see Bitcoin as an alternative to the traditional financial system, which offers them greater freedom, security and opportunities.


Furthermore, innovation and development in the Bitcoin ecosystem does not stop, and there are projects that seek to improve the scalability, privacy, interoperability and functionality of the network. Some examples are the Lightning network, which enables instant and low-cost transactions, the Taproot protocol, which improves the flexibility and efficiency of smart contracts, and the RSK project, which allows the creation of decentralized applications on top of Bitcoin.


An important aspect to take into account is the selling pressure of the miners, the increase in block size and the difficulty of mining can have an impact on profitability as they have to invest more in equipment, electricity and maintenance to continue being competitive. Furthermore, the price of BTC also influences their income as it determines the value of the rewards they receive. Therefore, miners may feel pressure to sell their BTC to cover their costs and make profits, especially when the price is high and there is a lot of demand in the market. This may lead to a greater supply of BTC in the market, which may put downward pressure on the price of the cryptocurrency.


To measure the selling pressure of miners, the Bitcoin Miners Position Index (MPI) can be used, which is the ratio between the change in miners' reserves and the change in hash rate. A positive MPI value indicates that miners are selling more BTC than they are mining, while a negative value indicates that miners are accumulating more BTC than they are selling. According to CryptoQuant data, the MPI has shown positive values in recent weeks, indicating high selling pressure from miners. This coincides with the decline in miners' reserves, which have dropped to a 3-year low, amid massive demand for Bitcoin spot and market ETFs. Furthermore, exchange reserves are also about to fall below 2 million BTC, a key level that will remain until the end of November.


The price of Bitcoin may suffer short-term fluctuations due to selling pressure from miners and other market factors, but in the long term, the trend is bullish as demand and adoption of Bitcoin exceed supply and demand competence. Bitcoin is a disruptive technology that is changing the world, and those who jump on the bandwagon now will be able to enjoy its benefits in the future.


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✍ Originally Posted: Publish0x

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