AppLovin - History
Today's update will focus on the history of the company, as I try to provide a holistic overview of the business and arrive at a fair price target.
To do so, I'll be trying to answer the following questions:
History
- Who founded the company
- has management changed significantly over time
- how credible is current vs previous management
- is this a significant factor in the price of the equity i.e. will this affect growth / the multiple that the market is willing to pay
- How has their business strategy evolved?
- What has and hasn't worked in the past, and why?
- What's the company's funding history and equity makeup?
Section 1: Key People
Founded by Adam Foroughi, Andrew Karam, and John Krystynak in 2012, Applovin is an American company with HQ in Palo Alto, exiting stealth in 2014.
A bit of background on the founders:
Adam Foroughi: CEO, Child of Iranian immigrants escaping the Iraq-Iran war. Founded 2 companies before Applovin:
- LifeStreet, an ad network for Facebook performance marketers to help maximise usage of ad inventory. They have since pivoted toward in-app ads on mobile platforms. Interestingly, the website states that LifeStreet began in 2009, though Adam has his experience there listed from 2005-2008.
- Social Hour, what seems like a social media-based company, presumably also in advertising. (stated to be a mobile marketing firm by Forbes)
- Has also been the CEO and on the board of 2 other mobile-based companies - Playphone (a game store operator) and Style Page (a content-sharing site)
Andrew Karam: VP of product at AppLovin, American, confound:
- Social hour
- Style Page
John Krystynak: CTO Till 2022, Cofounder, Information on him is more elusive.
Other Key People:
CFO: Matt Stumpf - ex PWC, rose up internally from VP finance. Recently replacing harold Chen.
CMO: Katie Jansen - OG employee (since 2013), AL's first marketing hire, previously VP marketing at PlayFirst, a mobile gaming publisher.
CTO: Basil Shikin - Early hire, previously VP Engineering, helped build and optimise the platform.
Board: list of big names, including the following:
*Seems that most leadership are either OG employees or very similar - people who's risen internally and therefore likely to have a better understanding of the company and run a cohesive ship
Most execs have been at the company for at least 7 years - well before the transition toward the current platform model, which increases confidence to work cohesively, if not deliver the strategy successfully.
As their current play is dependent on a successful transition to a platform based revenue stream, a cohesive team is valuable and leadership is experienced in this industry.
While I do think this is a material factor in the price of the equity (since it affects the likelihood of a successful transition) personally I don't know how exactly to put a value on this here, so any comments or suggestions would be greatly appreciated.
Additionally, I feel tracking revenue numbers and other key indicators will be the crux, so getting data on those stats will be mission-critical and will allow us to bypass the above, as management competence merely acts as a predictor of performance, and getting hard data seems better.
Section 2: Changes in Company Strategy
Unfortunately I ran out of time today so I'll finish sections 2 and 3 tomorrow.
Sources:
Section 1: Information gathered from Applovin Website, Forbes, and Linkedin.
tldr: Management team looks solid, with veteran employees at the reigns - a good indicator, but hard data likely to be more important.
Price at time of writing: 86.37