Is HODLing A Good Strategy? Diamond Hands Vs. Bag Holders

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6 Mar 2024
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HODLing refers to holding onto your cryptocurrencies through market fluctuations rather than selling them in response to short-term price movements.

"HODL" has become synonymous with a long-term investment strategy in cryptocurrency investing.

While some investors affiliate with the HODL strategy and encourage themselves and others to have diamond hands, others caution against the dangers of becoming a bag holder.

This article will explore HODLing as a strategy and examine the differences between diamond hands and bag holders.


HODLing - A Double Edge Sword

Those who adhere to the HODL strategy argue that it allows investors to capitalize on the long-term growth potential of cryptocurrencies while avoiding the pitfalls of short-term trading.

By holding onto their assets through market downturns, HODLers may avoid selling at a loss or small profit and potentially benefit from future price appreciation.

This approach is based on the belief that, over time, the value of cryptocurrencies will increase as adoption grows and the technology matures.

In some cases, with cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum, those with diamond hands are rewarded for HODling.

But what happens if crypto adoption or technology maturity does not happen?

Then, those who HODL to worthless crypto assets become bag holders. Always waiting for their assets to pump while missing more lucrative opportunities.

If your cryptoasset chart looks similar to this one, you are probably a bag holder, and your HODLing mindset may need some readjustment.


Diamond Hands vs. Bag Holders

Let's clarify the distinction so there are no classification misunderstandings between having diamond hands or being a bag holder.

Diamond hands refer to investors who maintain conviction in their investments despite short-term price fluctuations.

Those investors are willing to hold onto their assets through market downturns and remain resolute in their belief in the long-term potential of their investments.

The clearest examples of long-term Diamond Hands are those holding Bitcoin or Ethereum.


On the other hand, bag holders are investors holding depreciating assets for too long, often hoping to regain their losses.

Unlike diamond hands, most (if not all) bag holders lack a clear exit strategy and become emotionally attached to their investments.

This can lead to significant losses if the asset's value continues to decline, resulting in them being "left holding the bag."

Is HODLing a Good Strategy?

HODLing may be a good strategy:

  • if you uphold Diamond Hand characteristics
  • and avoid a Bag-Holder mindset.


Educate Yourself:
You need to develop a deep understanding of the cryptocurrency market, including the underlying technology of cryptocurrencies, current market trends, and the factors that drive price movements.

Conduct thorough research on the projects you're interested in investing in to assess their long-term viability.

Without continuous self-education and research, you may risk becoming a bag holder.

Warning!: Following the advice of influencers on YouTube or Twitter (X) does not count as education.

Blindly following influencers will most likely lead you to become a bag holder; many newcomers to the crypto space become bag holders because their first 'education' comes from reading posts on Twitter (learn how this wallet went from 1,000 to 1,000,000 USD) or watching videos in YouTube (how much coin XYZ you need to become a millionaire).

Manage Your Risks:
Develop your risk management strategy to mitigate potential losses. This may include diversifying your investment portfolio across different cryptocurrencies, asset classes, and investment strategies. And avoid investing more than you can afford to lose.

Bag holders typically fall in love with a cryptocurrency, go all in, and defend their bags to the bottom.

Risk management and diversification do prevent over-attachment to one of a few cryptoassets.

Adopt a Long-Term Mindset:
You need to adopt a long-term investment mindset and focus on the fundamental value of the cryptocurrencies you invest in rather than short-term price movements. Be patient and willing to hold onto your investments through market downturns.

But be very careful:

  • Diamond Hands studies tokenomics and conducts fundamental research. In their case, a long-term mindset is a positive trait.
  • Bag holders follow their instincts and believe that the cryptocurrencies will reach an unreasonable valuation: zero tokenomics and zero fundamental analysis. In their case, a long-term mindset is very detrimental.


Maintain Emotional Discipline:
Cultivate emotional discipline and avoid making impulsive decisions based on fear or greed. Develop the ability to remain calm and rational in the face of market volatility.

A Diamond Hands anchors itself through solid fundamental analysis and discipline.

Create a Clear Investment Plan:
You should create a clear investment plan outlining your investment goals, risk tolerance, and exit strategy. Stick to your plan and avoid deviating from it based on short-term market fluctuations.

Do you have a plan? Does your plan define when you will be taking profits? Does your plan define when you will exit the markets?

Diamond hands have an exit plan.


Keep Learning:
Stay informed about developments in the cryptocurrency market and be open to learning from your experiences. Keep up with the latest news, trends, and technological advancements to make informed investment decisions.

New cryptocurrencies with better technology, better marketing, and adoption will supersede those with outdated technology, poor marketing strategy, and little to no adoption.

Keep your knowledge up-to-date to avoid transitioning from diamond hand to bag holder.

This is an example of a cryptocurrency whose technology, marketing strategy, and adoption allow recovery after a bear market.

HODling through the bear market has been a good investment decision in this case.

This is an example of a cryptocurrency whose technology is not unique anymore (it used to be unique years ago), has no marketing, and has little adoption. It has not recovered well after the bear market and is unlikely to regain ATH during the current bull market.

In this case, HODling through the bear market has been a bad investment decision, which could be avoided through tokenomics research.


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Safeguard Your Investments:
Crypto and digital security will protect your assets from hacks and scams.
However, crypto and digital safety are equally important because they will protect your assets from losses derived from human errors, negligence, or disinformation.

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