2024 Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will It Hit $250,000 Following the Next Halving?
Since its launch in 2009, Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization, has had many ups and downs. In its turbulent voyage, Bitcoin has seen many ups and downs, from hitting an all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021 to plummeting to $22,700 in January 2023. Many researchers and investors, however, are optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects despite the difficulties and uncertainties, particularly in light of the impending halving event in 2024.
Bitcoin Halving: What Is It and Why Does It Matter?
The process of halving bitcoins, which happens every 4 years or every 210,000 blocks, lowers the incentive for mining new coins by half. This implies that there will eventually be fewer new bitcoins coming into the market, which will have a deflationary effect. Bitcoin will always have a limited amount of 21 million coins thanks to the halving, which makes it a precious and rare asset.
The price of Bitcoin is also significantly impacted by the halving since it alters the supply and demand balance. In the past, half the supply of Bitcoin has been followed by bull markets, or periods of rising prices, since increased demand and lower inflation rates result from the reduced supply. For example, the initial halving in 2012 decreased the block reward from 50 to 25 bitcoins, and the price of Bitcoin increased by 9,000% in 2013 to $1,100. Following the second halving in 2016, which decreased the block reward from 25 to 12.5 bitcoins, the price of Bitcoin increased by 2,800% in 2017 to reach $19,000. The third halving in 2020 reduced the block reward from 12.5 to 6.25 Bitcoins and was followed by a 350% increase in Bitcoin’s price from $9,000 to $41,000 in 2021.
It is anticipated that the second halving will take place in April 2024, bringing the block reward down from 6.25 bitcoins to 3.125 bitcoins. Many experts believe that this will start another bull market, which might drive the price of Bitcoin to unprecedented levels, based on the historical trend.
What are the Factors that Could Influence Bitcoin’s Price in 2024?
Besides the halving, other factors could affect Bitcoin’s price in 2024, both positively and negatively. Some of the key factors are:
- Regulation. The acceptance and adoption of Bitcoin may be significantly impacted by the continuously changing legal and regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies. While China has outlawed or severely restricted the use of Bitcoin, other nations, like El Salvador, have welcomed the cryptocurrency as legal money. Additionally, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been dragging out the approval process for an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that would give institutional and retail investors greater access to and credibility for Bitcoin. The result of these regulatory events will determine whether or not Bitcoin's price rises or falls in 2024.
- Innovation. The cryptocurrency space is highly dynamic and innovative, with new technologies and platforms emerging every day. Some of these innovations, such as decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and layer-2 solutions, could enhance Bitcoin’s utility and value proposition, as well as attract more users and investors to the network. For example, DeFi allows users to access various financial services, such as lending, borrowing, trading, and saving, without intermediaries, using smart contracts and cryptocurrencies. NFTs allow users to create and trade unique digital assets, such as art, music, games, and collectibles, using blockchain technology. Layer-2 solutions enable faster and cheaper transactions on Bitcoin’s network, by moving some of the processing off the main chain. These innovations could boost Bitcoin’s adoption and demand, and thus its price, in 2024.
- Competition. Other cryptocurrencies that provide alternative features and functionality, like smart contracts, scalability, interoperability, and environmental sustainability, like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, and Polkadot, compete with Bitcoin. In terms of price growth and market share, a few of these cryptocurrencies have recently outperformed Bitcoin, and their rise to prominence could potentially challenge Bitcoin's hegemony in the future. Nonetheless, Bitcoin possesses certain benefits over its rivals, like network security, brand awareness, network impact, and value proposition store. Bitcoin could also benefit from the growth and innovation of the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, as it serves as a gateway and a reserve asset for many users and investors.
What are the projected prices of Bitcoin in 2024?
It is challenging to estimate with precision the price of Bitcoin in 2024, given the multitude of variables and uncertainties that may affect it. We can, however, conjecture and create some scenarios based on past trends and present facts. Here are a few estimates for the price of Bitcoin in 2024 based on various techniques and sources:
- CoinCodex. CoinCodex is a cryptocurrency price tracker and analysis program that forecasts the price of Bitcoin using past price movements and halving cycles. Based on data from CoinCodex, the anticipated yearly low and high prices for Bitcoin in 2024 are $29,564 and $129,127, respectively. This means that Bitcoin could increase by 252.54% and reach $129,127 if it reaches the higher value target for 2024.
- BitQuant. BitQuant is a cryptocurrency research and analysis company that forecasts the price of Bitcoin using Elliott Wave charting. BitQuant predicts that Bitcoin will peak in 2024 following the halving and will surpass its current all-time high of $69,000 before April 2024.. The target price for Bitcoin in 2024 is around $250,000.
- Matrixport. The cryptocurrency trading and investment platform Matrixport forecasts the price of Bitcoin using a number of internal models. By the end of 2023, Bitcoin will hit $45,000, and it will keep growing until 2024, predicts Matrixport.. The target price for Bitcoin in 2024 is not specified, but it could be higher than $50,000.
- Standard Chartered. A British multinational bank called Standard Chartered offers research and analysis on cryptocurrencies. Standard Chartered predicts that by the end of 2023, Bitcoin will be worth $50,000, and by the end of 2024, it will have increased to $120,000. This revised forecast from Standard Chartered marks an increase from their previous April prediction, where they projected a top of $100,000 for Bitcoin.
Conclusion
The price of Bitcoin fluctuates greatly and is unpredictable due to a variety of uncontrollable circumstances and occurrences. Any forecast for the price of Bitcoin should therefore be regarded with a grain of salt rather than as financial advice. However, it is feasible to project some realistic possibilities and estimates for the price of Bitcoin in 2024 based on past trends as well as present ones. After the second halving, most experts and analysts agree that Bitcoin will enter another bull market and may even hit new highs of $100,000 or more. Regulation, competition, and innovation are some of the risks and difficulties that could impede Bitcoin's growth. In the end, Bitcoin's users, investors, developers, and other stakeholders will determine its future.
REFERENCES
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/bitcoin-price-prediction-2024-btc-reach-250000-after-next-oti-edema-9wnee/
https://coincodex.com/crypto/bitcoin/price-prediction/
https://www.bitcoinsensus.com/bitcoin-price-surge-54k-2024/
http://www.google.com