Bellingham still Ballon d'Or No.1 - but for how much longer?

Jude Bellingham remains at the forefront of the race for the Golden Ball, but competition is heating up as Kylian Mbappe and key players from Manchester City are closing in on him.

As the pursuit of football's most prestigious award intensifies, it begs the question: who among the sport's elite are genuine contenders, and who might fall short of expectations?

Following Lionel Messi's triumphant 2023 Ballon d'Or win after securing the World Cup, the focus has shifted towards predicting the recipient of the 2024 award. As the footballing world braces for the final phase of the season, anticipation grows for an intense competition.

With European domestic leagues in full swing and major international tournaments like the European Championship and Copa America on the horizon, the stakes are higher than ever.

Reflecting on the previous year's battle between Messi's international success and Erling Haaland's outstanding club performances, it's natural to wonder how these upcoming tournaments will influence the 2024 Ballon d'Or race.

Additionally, there's speculation about the potential for a winner from a league outside of Europe, considering the increasing presence of top players in emerging footballing regions around the globe.

1. Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

During the 2023-24 season, Bellingham had an impressive record of 21 goals and 12 assists, along with winning the Supercopa de Espana with Real Madrid. His arrival at the club was met with great anticipation, reminiscent of Cristiano Ronaldo's impact. Not only did he score frequently, but he also delivered crucial goals, including a double in the El Clasico victory in November.

Although recent injuries and suspensions have somewhat dampened the excitement surrounding him, the upcoming Champions League quarter-final against Manchester City presents an opportunity for Bellingham to revive his chances for the Golden Ball award. However, a defeat could see others surpass him in the race.
Nevertheless, Bellingham's current form bodes well for England's prospects in the European Championship, offering hope of overcoming past tournament setbacks. The outcome of this championship could play a significant role in determining the winner of this year's Ballon d'Or.

2. Kylian Mbappe (Paris Saint-Germain) 

In the 2023-24 season, Mbappe showcased his prowess with an impressive tally of 44 goals and 14 assists, culminating in winning the Trophee des Champions with PSG. As his departure to Real Madrid looms, this campaign marks his final chance to vie for the Ballon d'Or wearing the PSG colors, with his transfer expected to be finalized soon.

Mbappe's goal-scoring exploits have positioned PSG as favorites to retain their Ligue 1 title, and their favorable draw in the Champions League knockout stages has bolstered hopes of finally conquering the tournament. To bolster his Ballon d'Or chances, Mbappe aims to replicate another 50+ goal season with PSG and lead France to European Championship triumph in Germany. Such a feat appears well within reach given his current form and aspirations.

3. Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 

In the 2023-24 season, Haaland delivered an impressive performance with 32 goals and six assists, leading Manchester City to victory in the Club World Cup and UEFA Super Cup. Despite narrowly missing out on the 2023 Ballon d'Or, he remains determined to secure his first Golden Ball this time around.

Now fully recovered from a month-long injury spell, Haaland is gradually regaining his top form for City. If he continues to play a pivotal role in securing multiple trophies for his team, his chances of winning the Ballon d'Or could significantly improve.

However, a notable challenge for Haaland is his absence from the major summer tournament, as Norway did not qualify for Euro 2024. If another contender shines in Germany, Haaland's achievements might risk being overshadowed during the voting process.

4. Phil Foden (Manchester City) 

In the 2023-24 season, Foden has been a standout performer for Manchester City, stepping up admirably in the absence of Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland due to injuries. His contributions have been remarkable, and he is poised to have his most successful season yet.

Not only is Foden expected to compete for various trophies with Manchester City, but his exceptional form also positions him favorably to secure a starting spot for England at the highly anticipated Euro 2024 tournament.

5. Rodri (Manchester City) 

In the 2023-24 season, Rodri's impact on Manchester City's success has been undeniable. With seven goals and 11 assists to his name, he played a pivotal role in the team's victories in the Club World Cup and UEFA Super Cup.

Rodri's significance to the squad is evident by City's struggles in Premier League games when he's been absent. His unbeaten streak in a City shirt, spanning over a year, underscores his importance to the team's performance.

Regarded as the premier defensive midfielder in the world currently, Rodri's ability to also contribute crucial goals, such as his recent equalizer against Chelsea, has further enhanced his reputation. His impressive performances have garnered attention from fans and Ballon d'Or voters alike.

6. Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) 

In the 2023-24 season, Kane's transfer to Bayern Munich was expected to provide him with the opportunity to secure his first career trophy. However, Bayern's disappointing performance in the Bundesliga has jeopardized their chances of winning any silverware this season, as they currently trail Bayer Leverkusen by 10 points. Additionally, they face the daunting task of defeating both Arsenal and either Real Madrid or Manchester City to reach the Champions League final.

Despite Bayern's struggles, Kane continues to maintain an impressive scoring record, averaging more than a goal per game in the league for the defending champions. However, if he fails to secure a winners' medal at the club level by the end of the season, questions arise about whether leading England to victory at Euro 2024 would be sufficient for him to claim his first Ballon d'Or.