BITCOIN

#BTC

5 Phases of The Bitcoin Halving

1. Pre-Halving period

If a deeper retrace is going to occur, it will likely be over the next 140 days or so (orange)

In fact, $BTC retraced -24% in 2015 and -38% in 2019 at this same point in the cycle (i.e. ~200 days before the Halving)

A -30% drop from current prices would see Bitcoin revisit ~$20,000

2. Pre-Halving rally

Then ~60 days before the Halving, a Pre-Halving rally tends to occur (light blue)

In anticipation of the Halving, investors "Buy the Hype" in an effort to "Sell the News"

3. Pre-Halving retrace

A Pre-Halving retrace tends to occur around the Halving event itself (dark blue circle)

In 2016, this Pre-Halving retrace was -38% deep

In 2020, this Pre-Halving retrace was -20% deep

This Pre-Halving retrace makes investors question whether the Halving was a bullish catalyst on price after all

4. Re-Accumulation

The Pre-Halving retrace is followed by multi-month re-accumulation (red)

Many investors get shaken-out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving

5. Parabolic Uptrend

Once Bitcoin breaks out from the re-accumulation area breakout into the parabolic uptrend (green)

It is during this phase Bitcoin experiences accelerated growth on its way to new All Time Highs

#Crypto #Bitcoin