New GOAT Ranking Reveals Successors to Messi and Ronaldo

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16 Oct 2024
26

Discover the latest GOAT ranking in football as Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Erling Haaland battle to succeed Messi and Ronaldo.

Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo's reign as the GOAT of football is being challenged. The new GOAT ranking compiled by Dr. Tom Crawford, an Oxford mathematician, unveils the young talents contending for the top spot, with Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Erling Haaland leading the charge.


A New Era in Football

For nearly two decades, Messi and Ronaldo have been the face of world football, with 13 Ballons d'Or between them, reflecting their dominance on the global stage. However, as their careers wind down, a new generation of players is emerging, aiming to fill the void. Dr. Crawford's research, in partnership with LiveScore, seeks to predict the next GOAT by examining achievements, potential, and statistical comparisons to the legendary duo's careers.



Who Tops the GOAT Index?

The GOAT ranking by Dr. Crawford evaluates global players under 25, analyzing their goals, titles, and career trajectories. Kylian Mbappe leads with an impressive score of 86%, followed by Julian Alvarez at 84%. Jude Bellingham secures third place with 82%, closely trailed by Erling Haaland at 81%. These rankings emphasize not only current achievements but also the potential trajectory of each player’s career.

Dr. Crawford remarked, "As a massive football fan, I’ve watched Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi battle it out for many years. It’s now incredibly exciting to identify who of the next generation will take their place at the very top of the game, as a new debate grips fans." The model's inclusion of unexpected players like Julian Alvarez highlights the unpredictable nature of football talent.

The research also shines a spotlight on young stars like Lamine Yamal of Barcelona and Real Madrid’s Vinicius Jr, with scores of 68% and 64% respectively. Although they rank lower, their potential could see them become pivotal figures in the years to come.


The Battle for the 2024 Ballon d'Or

With the 2024 Ballon d'Or ceremony approaching on October 28 in Paris, several of these players are in contention for football’s highest individual honor. Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Erling Haaland have all made the shortlist. Real Madrid's Vinicius Jr and Manchester City's Rodri are considered current favorites to take home the Golden Ball.

The upcoming award could significantly influence the trajectory of the GOAT debate, with a strong performance potentially pushing one of these contenders to the forefront. Mbappe, already a World Cup winner and the leading candidate in Dr. Crawford’s index, has an opportunity to cement his position.

Meanwhile, Bellingham's rise at Real Madrid and Haaland’s goal-scoring prowess at Manchester City could make them prime candidates to dominate the global stage.


A Shift in the Football Landscape

This shift marks a significant transition in the world of football. While Messi continues to dazzle fans with Inter Miami in Major League Soccer and Ronaldo impresses at Al-Nassr, their prime years are behind them.

The spotlight is now turning to the emerging generation.
Crawford's mathematical model uses a comparative analysis of Messi and Ronaldo's careers to identify the most promising successors. It takes into account various performance metrics, such as goal contributions, individual awards, and team achievements, to derive a final score.

By analyzing the milestones these young players have achieved relative to where Messi and Ronaldo stood at similar ages, the model aims to provide a projection of their future potential.

The rise of these new stars also reflects broader changes in football dynamics, where youth development, advanced analytics, and global scouting networks are producing talents at an unprecedented rate. Clubs across Europe are heavily investing in the next generation, with teams like Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) nurturing young talents who can perform at the highest levels.

As fans look to the future, the debate over the next GOAT intensifies. Will Mbappe continue his rapid ascent, or will Haaland's record-breaking goal-scoring catch up? Could Bellingham’s midfield dominance or an unexpected talent like Julian Alvarez turn the tide? These questions will shape the narrative of football in the coming years.

The debate over the next GOAT is far from settled, the rise of players like Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Erling Haaland ensures that football remains as captivating as ever. The 2024 Ballon d'Or ceremony could provide further insight into who might be the heir to the throne long dominated by Messi and Ronaldo.

References
https://www.goal.com/en-ng/lists/cristiano-ronaldo-lionel-messi-goat-ranking-heir-kylian-mbappe-erling-haaland-jude-bellingham-battling-no-1/blt490d15541561efd0#csc846cd0e52d42beb

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