Bitcoin Extreme Greed At Levels Higher Than Nov. 2021 Peak, Top Signal?

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Bitcoin Extreme Greed At Levels Higher Than Nov. 2021 Peak, Top Signal?
Keshav Verma by Keshav Verma March 5, 2024



Data shows the Bitcoin sentiment has now reached extreme greed levels higher than even those at the price all-time high (ATH) in November 2021.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Deep Inside Extreme Greed Territory Now
The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that keeps track of the general sentiment present among the investors in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency market right now.

The metric represents this average sentiment in the form of a score lying in the zero to hundred range. To calculate this score, the index takes into account the following five factors: volatility, trading volume, social media sentiment, market cap dominance, and Google Trends.

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When the indicator shows a value less than 47, it means that the sentiment around the sector is that of fear. On the other hand, the index being above the 53 mark implies the presence of greed among the investors. Naturally, the region between these two territories belongs to the neutral mentality.

Besides these three main sentiments, there are two “extreme” sentiments called extreme fear and extreme greed. The former of these occurs at and below 25, while the latter is 75 and above.

Now, here is what the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index currently looks like:

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Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index

The indicator appears to have a very high value at the moment | Source: Alternative
As is visible above, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index’s current value is 90, which means that the investors are holding a strong sentiment of extreme greed. This latest value is quite the jump from the sentiment from yesterday, when the index was around 82.

The reason behind this sharp increase in the indicator is obviously because of the fact that the cryptocurrency’s price has been pushing towards a new all-time high during its latest rally.

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The current level of the Fear & Greed Index isn’t only high compared to the recent trend, but also when considering the historical data. The below chart shows how the metric’s value has fluctuated since its inception back in 2018:

Bitcoin Extreme Greed

The data for the metric over its entire history | Source: Alternative
As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has now surpassed the level that it assumed during the November 2021 price all-time high, as it stands at values just below those observed between late 2020 and early 2021.

Besides this period, there has only been one other instance in the history of the metric where it has achieved levels higher than now: the rally peak during mid-2019.

Historically, Bitcoin has tended to move against the expectations of the majority, and as this expectation has leaned more towards one side, the probability of such a contrary move taking place has only gone up.

Related Reading: CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin “Bull-Bear” Indicator Flags Price As Overheated
The top in the 2019 rally and November 2021 are just two such examples of this pattern in action. As such, it’s possible that the current extreme levels of the indicator mean that the price is at risk of forming a top right now.

It should be noted, however, that a top doesn’t necessarily have to immediately follow, as during the first half 2021 bull run, the metric was able to maintain at even higher levels for a while, without the rally being compromised.

BTC Price
Bitcoin was on the brink of setting a new all-time high just earlier, but its price has since cooled off towards the $66,700 level.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Looks like the price of the coin has been marching up during the past couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from iStock.com, Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com
Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
Tags: bitcoinbitcoin bull runBitcoin extreme greedBitcoin Fear & Greed Indexbitcoin peakbitcoin rallyBitcoin topbtcbtcusd


Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021. Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He completed a bachelor's in physics in 2022. Keshav is enthusiastic about the cryptocurrency industry and holds an active interest in on-chain analysis. His hobbies include gaming, anime, and football.


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The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
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