Bitcoin analyst sees ‘scary’ BTC price upside as funding flat at $73K

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30 Oct 2024
41

As October draws to a close, Bitcoin has once again pushed past the $73,000 mark, nearing all-time highs last seen in March. The recent BTC price movement showcases an optimistic yet calm market reaction, sparking discussions around potential “scary” upside momentum. Amid low retail participation and neutral funding rates, Bitcoin appears primed for further growth—if it can continue to hold support levels near $72,000. The asset’s newfound stability is reinforced by macroeconomic catalysts, including growing investment in spot ETFs and international monetary easing trends.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X


Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView reported Bitcoin’s price cooling slightly to $72,000 after a peak of $73,500, with analysts noting consolidation around this level. Trader Daan Crypto Trades remarked on BTC’s recent gains, pointing out that the asset has nearly cleared every significant lower high this year except the all-time high. “Bitcoin has now taken out every major lower high from this year except for the all-time high,” he commented, highlighting BTC’s steady path to reclaiming new heights.

In weekly chart analyses, trader and analyst Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin is potentially generating an upward wick beyond its reaccumulation range. This range has been in play since March, marking a period of gradual consolidation. A weekly close above this level, Rekt Capital suggested, could signal the beginning of a sustained breakout, cementing Bitcoin’s bullish outlook for the near future. His commentary underscores the importance of Bitcoin’s current support level, as maintaining it could offer the momentum needed to reach uncharted price territory.


Stable Funding Rates and Retail Absence Indicate Unique Market Climate

The stability of Bitcoin’s funding rates at this level has caught the attention of numerous analysts. While previous bull markets often experienced high funding rates as speculative interest intensified, Bitcoin’s current rally is notable for its unusually neutral funding, particularly on major platforms like Binance. Prominent market analyst Byzantine General commented, “BTC is basically at an all-time high, and these are the funding rates. If you told me a year ago that funding would be neutral at ATH, I wouldn’t have believed you.” This lack of high funding rates signals a more tempered market, possibly less prone to sudden corrections.

On CoinGlass, a leading platform for tracking crypto funding, rates reveal only marginally positive levels across major exchanges. This phenomenon has left traders both intrigued and optimistic, as neutral funding rates at high price levels could indicate robust organic support for Bitcoin’s current price range.

Crypto funding rate heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass


Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher also pointed out the scarcity of retail involvement as evidenced by the absence of Bitcoin-related apps in top app store rankings. Deutsche explained, “Price is the EXACT SAME, but retail isn’t back (at all).” The implication is that Bitcoin’s current price rally is driven more by institutional interest than by retail speculation, suggesting an underlying strength to this particular market cycle.


Macro Tailwinds Propel Bitcoin’s Momentum Beyond $73,000

QCP Capital, a trading firm with deep roots in the cryptocurrency market, attributed part of Bitcoin’s current success to several key macroeconomic factors. Their most recent report observed that BTC has experienced an “8% surge,” bolstered by favorable geopolitical conditions and economic data. Key drivers included the rising inflows into spot ETFs, ongoing monetary easing policies across major economies, and the potential of a victory for the pro-crypto U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump. The combination of these influences has provided a favorable backdrop for Bitcoin’s recent rally.

As QCP Capital highlighted, upcoming economic indicators and policy decisions could further shape the trajectory of Bitcoin and other digital assets. In the coming weeks, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates, as well as unemployment data, will be closely watched by investors looking for signs of broader economic trends. Additionally, corporate earnings from major technology firms could either bolster or dampen enthusiasm in the broader market, indirectly impacting Bitcoin.

The effect of these events on Bitcoin’s trajectory is significant, as a dovish Fed and strong tech earnings would likely support continued upward movement. Conversely, disappointing data could spur cautious market reactions, though Bitcoin’s resilience in 2023 has shown that it may withstand external shocks more robustly than traditional financial assets.

With ongoing developments in the regulatory and macroeconomic landscape, Bitcoin’s price activity stands out not only for its pace but also for its unique structure. The rally has developed in a relatively muted environment, marked by low funding and limited retail speculation—factors that differentiate it from previous bull cycles driven by widespread retail euphoria.


Market Sentiment Remains Strong with Eye on All-Time Highs

Bitcoin’s recent consolidation near $72,000 reflects a supportive technical backdrop, according to multiple analysts. As Daan Crypto Trades noted, the lack of a decisive break of the all-time high offers an opportunity for future growth. “Better it rejects before to make an equal high vs. sweeping it,” he commented, suggesting that the current consolidation phase could set the stage for another upward move if key support levels hold.

For traders and analysts, the stability seen in Bitcoin’s funding and retail metrics presents a fascinating divergence from previous bull markets. In a tweet, popular crypto commentator Miles Deutscher noted that despite Bitcoin reaching similar price levels to those of previous cycles, retail interest remains conspicuously absent. This, in turn, has led to speculation that Bitcoin’s price could continue climbing with relatively limited selling pressure from retail investors—a scenario that some analysts describe as “scary” due to its implications for future price potential.

The potential for further gains is also tied to Bitcoin’s macroeconomic environment, with a dovish stance from global central banks likely to provide additional upward momentum. As international economies grapple with slowing growth, some analysts speculate that Bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative could gain traction, appealing to investors looking for alternatives to fiat-based assets in a low-interest-rate environment. Additionally, spot ETFs are being closely watched as a significant channel for institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin, a development that could drive further capital inflows in the near term.

While uncertainties remain, the relatively calm environment surrounding Bitcoin’s recent rally has drawn attention as a sign of maturity in the asset class. As funding rates remain low and retail participation stays muted, many see Bitcoin’s price movements as potentially sustainable, with room for continued growth as institutional interest builds.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-analyst-scary-btc-price-upside-funding-73-k?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

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