USA Vs China who will win ? Part 2
USA vs China war who will win?
Let’s look at it from the military perspective only this time. The only scenario that China and
US would go to war is when Taiwan declares independence. China is unlikely to
take war risks on other scenarios. In this case, China would start a blockade
on Taiwan first and the US would for sure provide military aids by air/sea to
Taiwan, China would try to intercept this and then start war. This will be an
air/sea battle only because there is no possibility that the US would attack
China with land forces. An anecdotal information suggested that an US general
once said “You must be NUTS to fight China on her land”.
Air sea battle
In order for the US to attack China’s military assets the aircraft carriers have to go within
strike distance but they cannot do this because they would face the risks of
anti-ship ballistic missiles from land based mobile trucks, these missiles can
reach as far as Quam Island now. Whether these missiles are accurate or not it
would favour the shooter as the missiles are much cheaper than the US aircraft
carriers. Destroying China’s land base missile launchers would be very hard too
because these mobile trucks are designed to shoot and run.
The US cannot attack from air bases like from Japan and South Korea because China have all
sorts of missiles that can destroy all the US run ways in Asia.
USA’s Rapid dragon
The only nightmare China could face is when the US launch massive number of long-range
missiles called the “rapid dragon”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uoo-jrZ5c0I&ab_channel=UltimateAmerican
USA is the only country in the world capable of long-range power projection.
However, the US cannot launch attack on the East Coast cities of China using long range cruise missiles and B2 stealth bombers because attacking civilian targets would trigger a nuclear war.
China's offensive defence
China's defence assets were designed to sink enemy’s ships they are particularly target at the
US sea power and power projection. China’s hypersonic missiles are more advanced than the US. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qit3DxvBnpc&ab_channel=TRTWorld
China can just deploy all naval assets around the land mass of China and protected by the anti-ship ballistic missiles’ coverage and air defence systems. It is very complicated and hard for the US to destroy these assets when the aircraft carriers cannot come within strike distance. While China's land based missile launch trucks can shoot and run. It is like they can hit the adversary but the opponent cannot hit back. Unless US can lure China into the open sea then China for sure would get beaten by the US. But China is seeking A2AD only, that is Anti Access Area Denial of the US Air Sea power.
The US can launch a frantic attack with all of its 11 aircraft carriers but then the US
would suffer huge casualties, for what? just to defend Taiwan? Even all of
China’s naval assets are destroyed, the US still cannot beat China into
submission without a land force attack. So, at the end it is still a “no
winner” outcome. China’s creeping towards dominance in Asia is irreversible.
If you think
otherwise I am happy to see your comments with justifications.