Challenges and Controversies: New EU Commission's politics regarding migration

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29 Sept 2024
35

 

TLDR 
 
The new EU Commission’s allocation of roles has led to mixed reactions, with Magnus Brunner unexpectedly taking over the sensitive Internal Affairs and Migration portfolio. The Commission faces challenges in maintaining compliance with the Common European Asylum System, balancing national interests, and addressing geopolitical shifts in Eastern Europe.


The new European Commission, led by Ursula von der Leyen, has revealed a mix of anticipation and disappointment as it allocates roles for the upcoming term. Despite member states' (MS) hopes for finance portfolios, many were left dissatisfied as the Commission prioritized gender balance and political appeasement, with Italy being a notable winner. This distribution is critical as the EU negotiates its €1.5 trillion Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF).
 
Austria’s finance minister, Magnus Brunner, was unexpectedly assigned the Internal Affairs and Migration portfolio. A consensus-based politician, Brunner’s selection reflects a desire for stability in handling this politically charged position. While Austria respects EU asylum laws, the role will test its ability to manage divergent national policies and enforce compliance.
 
Other key appointments include focusing on Eastern European and Mediterranean regions, signaling a shift in EU priorities towards addressing the conflict with Russia and potential enlargement involving Ukraine and Moldova. The Commissioner for the Mediterranean, Dubravka Šuica, and the High Representative, Kaja Kallas from Estonia, indicate this eastward pivot.
 
The challenge lies in maintaining unity and compliance within the Common European Asylum System (CEAS). The risk of selective implementation, driven by national interests, threatens to undermine the EU’s ability to create a cohesive policy. Brunner’s success will depend on whether he can promote even-handedness in enforcing regulations and prevent political crises from partial adherence to the Pact.
 
The Commission’s handling of asylum and migration will face a critical test in the coming years. The influence of hardline MS, efforts to renegotiate or bypass asylum laws, and potential conflicts in enforcement will shape the future of EU asylum policy. Effective coordination and enforcement of the reformed legal framework will be essential in addressing these systemic issues.
 
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