Blog: Bitcoin Price Analysis - Bearish Sentiment Persists, Predicts 11.64% Drop

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21 Jan 2024
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Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for general purposes only. No information, materials, services and other content provided on this page constitute a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or any financial, investment, or other advice. Seek independent professional consultation in the form of legal, financial, and fiscal advice before making any investment decision. Bitcoin is down -3.89% today against the US Dollar Bitcoin is currently trading 12.09% above our prediction on Jan 23, 2024 Bitcoin dropped -2.62% in the last month and is up 95.79% since 1 year ago Bitcoin price $ 40,980 Bitcoin prediction $ 36,560 (-11.64%) Sentiment Bearish Fear & Greed index 63 (Greed) Key support levels $ 42,287, $ 41,810, $ 41,359 Key resistance levels $ 43,215, $ 43,666, $ 44,143 BTC price is expected to drop by -11.64% in the next 5 days according to our Bitcoin price prediction Bitcoin price today is trading at $ 40,980 after losing -3.89% in the last 24 hours. The coin underperformed the cryptocurrency market, as the total crypto market cap decreased by -4.09% in the same time period. According to our Bitcoin price prediction, BTC is expected to reach a price of $ 36,560 by Jan 23, 2024. This would represent a -11.64% price decrease for BTC in the next 5 days. BTC Price Prediction Chart Buy/Sell Bitcoin What has been going on with Bitcoin in the last 30 days Bitcoin has been displaying a negative trend recently, as the coin lost -2.62% in the last 30-days. The medium-term trend for Bitcoin has been bullish, with BTC increasing by 38.87% in the last 3 months. The long-term picture for Bitcoin has been positive, as BTC is currently displaying a 95.79% 1-year price change. On this day last year, BTC was trading at $ 20,930. Bitcoin reached its all-time high price on Nov 10, 2021, when the price of BTC peaked at $ 68,770. The current BTC cycle high is $ 48,941, while the cycle low is at $ 15,599. BTC has been displaying low volatility recently – the 1-month volatility of the coin is at 2.81. Bitcoin recorded 15 green days in the last 30 days. Bitcoin technical analysis for today - Jan 18, 2024 The sentiment in the Bitcoin markets is currently Bearish, and the Fear & Greed index is reading Greed. The most important support levels to watch are $ 42,287, $ 41,810 and $ 41,359, while $ 43,215, $ 43,666 and $ 44,143 are the key resistance levels. Bearish sentiment for Bitcoin 14 indicators are currently signaling a bullish prediction for Bitcoin, while 16 indicators are showing a bearish forecast. With 53% of indicators favoring a negative prediction. This results in an overall Bearish sentiment for Bitcoin. Crypto market is currently experiencing Greed Currently, the Fear & Greed index is at 63 (Greed), which signals that investors have a positive outlook on the market. The Fear & Greed index is a measure of sentiment among cryptocurrency investors. A “Greed” reading suggests that investors are currently optimistic about the cryptocurrency market, but can also be an indication that the market is overvalued. A “Fear” reading, on the other hand, signals that investors are currently hesitant about the cryptocurrency market, which potentially represents a buying opportunity. Bitcoin moving averages & oscillators Let’s take a look at what some of the most important technical indicators are signaling. We’ll be going through key moving averages and oscillators that will allow us to get a better idea of how Bitcoin is positioned in the market right now. Period Daily Simple Daily Exponential Weekly Simple Weekly Exponential MA3 $ 43,810 (SELL) $ 43,675 (SELL) - - MA5 $ 43,311 (SELL) $ 43,528 (SELL) - - MA10 $ 43,339 (SELL) $ 42,857 (SELL) - - MA21 $ 43,303 (SELL) $ 41,206 (SELL) $ 58,294 (SELL) $ 35,829 (BUY) MA50 $ 42,434 (SELL) $ 37,954 (BUY) $ 45,202 (SELL) $ 31,482 (BUY) MA100 $ 38,110 (BUY) $ 34,674 (BUY) $ 28,853 (BUY) $ 30,022 (BUY) MA200 $ 32,894 (BUY) $ 31,597 (BUY) $ 35,608 (BUY) $ 27,153 (BUY) Period Value Action RSI (14) 46.44 NEUTRAL Stoch RSI (14) 27.47 NEUTRAL Stochastic Fast (14) 14.43 BUY Commodity Channel Index (20) -66.67 NEUTRAL Average Directional Index (14) 6.99 NEUTRAL Awesome Oscillator (5, 34) -755.67 NEUTRAL Momentum (10) -1,085.75 NEUTRAL MACD (12, 26) -364.43 NEUTRAL Williams Percent Range (14) -85.57 BUY Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28) 40.05 NEUTRAL VWMA (10) 44,985.79 SELL Hull Moving Average (9) 40,420.11 BUY Ichimoku Cloud B/L (9, 26, 52, 26) 44,892.62 NEUTRAL The Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) is a widely used indicator that helps inform investors whether an asset is currently overbought or oversold. The RSI 14 for Bitcoin is at 46.44, suggesting that BTC is currently neutral. The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) takes into account the closing price of Bitcoin over the last 50 days. Currently, Bitcoin is trading below the SMA 50 trendline, which is a bearish signal. Meanwhile, the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 200) is a long-term trendline that’s calculated by taking an average of the BTC closing price for the last 200 days. BTC is now trading below the SMA 200, signaling that the market is currently bearish. The bottom line about this Bitcoin prediction After considering the above factors, we can conclude that the current forecast for Bitcoin price prediction is Bearish. BTC would have to decrease by -11.64% to hit our $ 36,560 target within the next five days. Moving forward, it will be important to monitor the BTC market sentiment, the key support and resistance levels, and other metrics. However, we have to keep in mind that the cryptocurrency markets are unpredictable, and even the largest crypto assets display a lot of price volatility. For long-term Bitcoin price predictions click here. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for general purposes only. No information, materials, services and other content provided on this page constitute a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or any financial, investment, or other advice. Seek independent professional consultation in the form of legal, financial, and fiscal advice before making any investment decision.

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