Bearish Signs Appear as BTC Unable to Claim $43K Successfully (Bitcoin Price Analysis

After encountering a significant rejection at the $48K resistance level, Bitcoin has recently discovered support near the crucial 100-day moving average, prompting a slight retracement. However, if a pullback materializes, the most likely scenario would involve a renewed bearish leg, targeting significant support at $38K.

Technical Analysis
By Shayan

The Daily Chart
Upon analyzing the daily chart, it becomes apparent that following Bitcoin’s recent setback from the pivotal $48K level, the price sought support around a crucial range defined by the middle boundary of the ascending channel and the significant 100-day moving average at $39K.

Consequently, a slight correction ensued, retracing the price toward the existing fair value gap (FVG) bounded within the $43,578 and $45,606 thresholds.

This price range carries the potential to exert resistance against further selling pressure, maybe even propelling it back toward the substantial 100-day moving average. However, a breach below this critical moving average could lay the groundwork for a mid-term bearish trend.
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HOME » BTC » BEARISH SIGNS APPEAR AS BTC UNABLE TO CLAIM $43K SUCCESSFULLY (BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS)
Bearish Signs Appear as BTC Unable to Claim $43K Successfully (Bitcoin Price Analysis)
Author: CryptoVizArt

Last Updated Jan 31, 2024 @ 20:52
After encountering a significant rejection at the $48K resistance level, Bitcoin has recently discovered support near the crucial 100-day moving average, prompting a slight retracement. However, if a pullback materializes, the most likely scenario would involve a renewed bearish leg, targeting significant support at $38K.

Technical Analysis
By Shayan

The Daily Chart
Upon analyzing the daily chart, it becomes apparent that following Bitcoin’s recent setback from the pivotal $48K level, the price sought support around a crucial range defined by the middle boundary of the ascending channel and the significant 100-day moving average at $39K.

Consequently, a slight correction ensued, retracing the price toward the existing fair value gap (FVG) bounded within the $43,578 and $45,606 thresholds.

This price range carries the potential to exert resistance against further selling pressure, maybe even propelling it back toward the substantial 100-day moving average. However, a breach below this critical moving average could lay the groundwork for a mid-term bearish trend.

btc_price_chart_3101241
Source: TradingView
The 4-Hour Chart
An examination of the 4-hour chart reveals a notable dip below the lower boundary of the ascending flag, leading the price to the static support zone encompassing $39K and the significant 0.5 level of Fibonacci retracement, resulting in a noteworthy reversal.

Consequently, the price experienced a bullish surge, retracing towards a critical resistance marked by the lower boundary of the ascending flag.

However, Bitcoin appears to be in the process of completing a pullback to the broken flag, setting the stage for a renewed bearish phase. Therefore, in the event of a successful pullback, the market should anticipate a mid-term descent towards the $38K significant support region.
On-chain Analysis
By Shayan

Looking at the behavior of Bitcoin miners becomes particularly crucial, especially in the aftermath of the recent surge in price beyond the significant $40K threshold. Given their pivotal role in the Bitcoin network, the actions of miners can wield substantial influence over the market.

The Miners’ Position Index Metric (MPI) displayed in the chart offers a representation of the ratio of total miner outflow (in USD) to its one-year moving average. A higher MPI value implies that miners are sending more coins than usual, indicating potential selling activity.

The chart notably illustrates a significant uptick in MPI during Bitcoin’s recent upward movement above $40K. However, based on the MPI analysis, concerns regarding capitulation appear to be minimal. It appears that miners have already secured considerable profits, fortifying their financial positions.

This resilience suggests that miners have the capacity to endure potential deeper corrections in the BTC market in the future.

Nevertheless, a word of caution is warranted; if the ongoing selling behavior among miners persists, it could lead to an oversupply of Bitcoin in the market, possibly resulting in a substantial price crash.
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Bitcoin ETF vs Buying BTC Directly: What’s Better?

Have you been wondering what’s better – buying BTC directly or buying the recently-approved Bitcoin ETFs? Let’s find out.

A spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has been one of the hottest topics over the past few years. Many investment companies, both traditional and crypto-oriented, have been filing multiple applications with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission over and over again.
On January 10th, 2024, the SEC finally gave the go-ahead and greenlighted a total of 11 Bitcoin ETF applications.

It’s been a hard-fought battle spanning many years, and if you want to check out the full timeline of the events, take a look at our detailed article on the matter:

Timeline of Events Leading to Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval in the United States

With the approval already a fact, it’s now critical to explore a very important subject – the difference between buying a spot Bitcoin ETF and buying Bitcoin directly and what might be better for you.

Here’s a quick table of comparison between both, while the following article provides a more in-depth look.
What is a Spot Bitcoin ETF?
Exchange-traded funds have been a cornerstone in the world of traditional finance for many years.

In essence, an ETF represents a basket (or individual) of assets, and it trades on an exchange just like a regular stock does. It can track the price of various types of assets, including but not limited to securities, commodities, or other assets. It can track multiple assets or just one (as is the case with the spot Bitcoin ETF).

In the case of the Bitcoin ETFs, they provide a traditional and well-regarded investment vehicle to gain exposure to the price of BTC.

There is, however, a technical difference between the ETF itself and the asset that it tracks. Since the ETF itself is a standalone product – it has a market of its own and trades independently of the asset that underpins it. This is why there might be a difference between the ETF price and the net asset value (NAV) of the underpinning product.

There are other important takeaways that characterize the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, so let’s have a look at a comprehensive summary.
Trades on traditional exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange
Because the ETF is a traditional investment product, it trades on regulated exchanges on Wall Street, such as the New York Stock Exchange. ETFs don’t trade on cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance.

Investors don’t own the underlying BTC
Owning an ETF doesn’t grant ownership to the underlying product. Think of it as a synthetic asset that’s built on top of BTC, and it tracks its price. Investors who buy the ETF don’t have to worry about storing and safekeeping BTC.

The shares in the ETF are backed by BTC, which is owned and stored by the ETF provider.

There are acquisition fees depending on the ETF provider
There are multiple Bitcoin ETFs, and each of them comes with different fees stipulated by the provider. In the case of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), there’s a sponsor fee of 0.25% (T&C apply).

Managed by the ETF provider
ETFs are managed by the companies that launch them. They can pull support if they don’t meet certain criteria and can also change the fees at their own volition.

Trades within traditional US trading hours
Because ETFs trade on traditional and regulated US exchanges like NYSE, they can only be accessed during regular US trading hours.

There might be an ETF/NAV price difference
There might be a price difference between the Bitcoin ETF and the price of Bitcoin on the same day. This is because ETFs trade on their separate markets, which dictate their current price.
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HOME » GUIDES » BITCOIN ETF VS BUYING BTC DIRECTLY: WHAT’S BETTER?
Bitcoin ETF vs Buying BTC Directly: What’s Better?
Author: George Georgiev

Last Updated Jan 29, 2024 @ 09:58
Have you been wondering what’s better – buying BTC directly or buying the recently-approved Bitcoin ETFs? Let’s find out.

A spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has been one of the hottest topics over the past few years. Many investment companies, both traditional and crypto-oriented, have been filing multiple applications with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission over and over again.


On January 10th, 2024, the SEC finally gave the go-ahead and greenlighted a total of 11 Bitcoin ETF applications.

It’s been a hard-fought battle spanning many years, and if you want to check out the full timeline of the events, take a look at our detailed article on the matter:

Timeline of Events Leading to Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval in the United States

With the approval already a fact, it’s now critical to explore a very important subject – the difference between buying a spot Bitcoin ETF and buying Bitcoin directly and what might be better for you.

Here’s a quick table of comparison between both, while the following article provides a more in-depth look.

btc_etf1

What is a Spot Bitcoin ETF?
Exchange-traded funds have been a cornerstone in the world of traditional finance for many years.

In essence, an ETF represents a basket (or individual) of assets, and it trades on an exchange just like a regular stock does. It can track the price of various types of assets, including but not limited to securities, commodities, or other assets. It can track multiple assets or just one (as is the case with the spot Bitcoin ETF).

In the case of the Bitcoin ETFs, they provide a traditional and well-regarded investment vehicle to gain exposure to the price of BTC.

There is, however, a technical difference between the ETF itself and the asset that it tracks. Since the ETF itself is a standalone product – it has a market of its own and trades independently of the asset that underpins it. This is why there might be a difference between the ETF price and the net asset value (NAV) of the underpinning product.

There are other important takeaways that characterize the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, so let’s have a look at a comprehensive summary.

btc_etf2

Trades on traditional exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange
Because the ETF is a traditional investment product, it trades on regulated exchanges on Wall Street, such as the New York Stock Exchange. ETFs don’t trade on cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance.

Investors don’t own the underlying BTC
Owning an ETF doesn’t grant ownership to the underlying product. Think of it as a synthetic asset that’s built on top of BTC, and it tracks its price. Investors who buy the ETF don’t have to worry about storing and safekeeping BTC.

The shares in the ETF are backed by BTC, which is owned and stored by the ETF provider.

There are acquisition fees depending on the ETF provider
There are multiple Bitcoin ETFs, and each of them comes with different fees stipulated by the provider. In the case of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), there’s a sponsor fee of 0.25% (T&C apply).

Managed by the ETF provider
ETFs are managed by the companies that launch them. They can pull support if they don’t meet certain criteria and can also change the fees at their own volition.

Trades within traditional US trading hours
Because ETFs trade on traditional and regulated US exchanges like NYSE, they can only be accessed during regular US trading hours.

There might be an ETF/NAV price difference
There might be a price difference between the Bitcoin ETF and the price of Bitcoin on the same day. This is because ETFs trade on their separate markets, which dictate their current price.

Pros and Cons of a Bitcoin ETF
The above characteristics are specific to Bitcoin ETFs, and they bring certain advantages and disadvantages.

Pros:

Regulated financial product
It can be included in specialized portfolios like retirement or 401(k)
Backed by regulated and reputable providers like BlackRock
Cons:

Investors do not own the underlying BTC
There might be a premium on the ETF compared to the BTC NAV
Limited trading hours and higher fees
Buying BTC Directly
As opposed to ETFs, buying Bitcoin directly provides you with ownership over the BTC, regardless of whether you buy it from an exchange or P2P.

Of course, if you do buy it through an exchange such as Binance, you should consider self-custody. This means that you should take your BTC off the exchange and transfer it into a cold wallet such as Trezor or Ledger, where you control the private keys.

In crypto, there’s a popular saying that goes like this:

“Not your keys, not your Bitcoin.”

This also comes with certain responsibilities. Keeping your crypto safe can be a challenging task, especially if you have no prior experience. Worry not, however, as we’ve prepared a detailed guide on what you can do to make sure your BTC is safe.

9 Tips for Securing Your Bitcoin and Crypto Wallets You Must Follow

Just as CryptoPotatoTOGGLE NAVIGATION

HOME » GUIDES » BITCOIN ETF VS BUYING BTC DIRECTLY: WHAT’S BETTER?
Bitcoin ETF vs Buying BTC Directly: What’s Better?
Author: George Georgiev

Last Updated Jan 29, 2024 @ 09:58
Have you been wondering what’s better – buying BTC directly or buying the recently-approved Bitcoin ETFs? Let’s find out.

A spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has been one of the hottest topics over the past few years. Many investment companies, both traditional and crypto-oriented, have been filing multiple applications with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission over and over again.


On January 10th, 2024, the SEC finally gave the go-ahead and greenlighted a total of 11 Bitcoin ETF applications.

It’s been a hard-fought battle spanning many years, and if you want to check out the full timeline of the events, take a look at our detailed article on the matter:

Timeline of Events Leading to Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval in the United States

With the approval already a fact, it’s now critical to explore a very important subject – the difference between buying a spot Bitcoin ETF and buying Bitcoin directly and what might be better for you.

Here’s a quick table of comparison between both, while the following article provides a more in-depth look.

btc_etf1

What is a Spot Bitcoin ETF?
Exchange-traded funds have been a cornerstone in the world of traditional finance for many years.

In essence, an ETF represents a basket (or individual) of assets, and it trades on an exchange just like a regular stock does. It can track the price of various types of assets, including but not limited to securities, commodities, or other assets. It can track multiple assets or just one (as is the case with the spot Bitcoin ETF).

In the case of the Bitcoin ETFs, they provide a traditional and well-regarded investment vehicle to gain exposure to the price of BTC.

There is, however, a technical difference between the ETF itself and the asset that it tracks. Since the ETF itself is a standalone product – it has a market of its own and trades independently of the asset that underpins it. This is why there might be a difference between the ETF price and the net asset value (NAV) of the underpinning product.

There are other important takeaways that characterize the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, so let’s have a look at a comprehensive summary.

btc_etf2

Trades on traditional exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange
Because the ETF is a traditional investment product, it trades on regulated exchanges on Wall Street, such as the New York Stock Exchange. ETFs don’t trade on cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance.

Investors don’t own the underlying BTC
Owning an ETF doesn’t grant ownership to the underlying product. Think of it as a synthetic asset that’s built on top of BTC, and it tracks its price. Investors who buy the ETF don’t have to worry about storing and safekeeping BTC.

The shares in the ETF are backed by BTC, which is owned and stored by the ETF provider.

There are acquisition fees depending on the ETF provider
There are multiple Bitcoin ETFs, and each of them comes with different fees stipulated by the provider. In the case of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), there’s a sponsor fee of 0.25% (T&C apply).

Managed by the ETF provider
ETFs are managed by the companies that launch them. They can pull support if they don’t meet certain criteria and can also change the fees at their own volition.

Trades within traditional US trading hours
Because ETFs trade on traditional and regulated US exchanges like NYSE, they can only be accessed during regular US trading hours.

There might be an ETF/NAV price difference
There might be a price difference between the Bitcoin ETF and the price of Bitcoin on the same day. This is because ETFs trade on their separate markets, which dictate their current price.

Pros and Cons of a Bitcoin ETF
The above characteristics are specific to Bitcoin ETFs, and they bring certain advantages and disadvantages.

Pros:

Regulated financial product
It can be included in specialized portfolios like retirement or 401(k)
Backed by regulated and reputable providers like BlackRock
Cons:

Investors do not own the underlying BTC
There might be a premium on the ETF compared to the BTC NAV
Limited trading hours and higher fees
Buying BTC Directly
As opposed to ETFs, buying Bitcoin directly provides you with ownership over the BTC, regardless of whether you buy it from an exchange or P2P.

Of course, if you do buy it through an exchange such as Binance, you should consider self-custody. This means that you should take your BTC off the exchange and transfer it into a cold wallet such as Trezor or Ledger, where you control the private keys.

In crypto, there’s a popular saying that goes like this:

“Not your keys, not your Bitcoin.”

This also comes with certain responsibilities. Keeping your crypto safe can be a challenging task, especially if you have no prior experience. Worry not, however, as we’ve prepared a detailed guide on what you can do to make sure your BTC is safe.

9 Tips for Securing Your Bitcoin and Crypto Wallets You Must Follow

Just as it is with ETFs, buying Bitcoin directly has its specifics. Here’s a quick summary.it is with ETFs, buying Bitcoin directly has its specifics. Here’s a quick summary.
CryptoPotatoTOGGLE NAVIGATION

HOME » GUIDES » BITCOIN ETF VS BUYING BTC DIRECTLY: WHAT’S BETTER?
Bitcoin ETF vs Buying BTC Directly: What’s Better?
Author: George Georgiev

Last Updated Jan 29, 2024 @ 09:58
Have you been wondering what’s better – buying BTC directly or buying the recently-approved Bitcoin ETFs? Let’s find out.

A spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has been one of the hottest topics over the past few years. Many investment companies, both traditional and crypto-oriented, have been filing multiple applications with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission over and over again.


On January 10th, 2024, the SEC finally gave the go-ahead and greenlighted a total of 11 Bitcoin ETF applications.

It’s been a hard-fought battle spanning many years, and if you want to check out the full timeline of the events, take a look at our detailed article on the matter:

Timeline of Events Leading to Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval in the United States

With the approval already a fact, it’s now critical to explore a very important subject – the difference between buying a spot Bitcoin ETF and buying Bitcoin directly and what might be better for you.

Here’s a quick table of comparison between both, while the following article provides a more in-depth look.

btc_etf1

What is a Spot Bitcoin ETF?
Exchange-traded funds have been a cornerstone in the world of traditional finance for many years.

In essence, an ETF represents a basket (or individual) of assets, and it trades on an exchange just like a regular stock does. It can track the price of various types of assets, including but not limited to securities, commodities, or other assets. It can track multiple assets or just one (as is the case with the spot Bitcoin ETF).

In the case of the Bitcoin ETFs, they provide a traditional and well-regarded investment vehicle to gain exposure to the price of BTC.

There is, however, a technical difference between the ETF itself and the asset that it tracks. Since the ETF itself is a standalone product – it has a market of its own and trades independently of the asset that underpins it. This is why there might be a difference between the ETF price and the net asset value (NAV) of the underpinning product.

There are other important takeaways that characterize the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, so let’s have a look at a comprehensive summary.

btc_etf2

Trades on traditional exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange
Because the ETF is a traditional investment product, it trades on regulated exchanges on Wall Street, such as the New York Stock Exchange. ETFs don’t trade on cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance.

Investors don’t own the underlying BTC
Owning an ETF doesn’t grant ownership to the underlying product. Think of it as a synthetic asset that’s built on top of BTC, and it tracks its price. Investors who buy the ETF don’t have to worry about storing and safekeeping BTC.

The shares in the ETF are backed by BTC, which is owned and stored by the ETF provider.

There are acquisition fees depending on the ETF provider
There are multiple Bitcoin ETFs, and each of them comes with different fees stipulated by the provider. In the case of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), there’s a sponsor fee of 0.25% (T&C apply).

Managed by the ETF provider
ETFs are managed by the companies that launch them. They can pull support if they don’t meet certain criteria and can also change the fees at their own volition.

Trades within traditional US trading hours
Because ETFs trade on traditional and regulated US exchanges like NYSE, they can only be accessed during regular US trading hours.

There might be an ETF/NAV price difference
There might be a price difference between the Bitcoin ETF and the price of Bitcoin on the same day. This is because ETFs trade on their separate markets, which dictate their current price.

Pros and Cons of a Bitcoin ETF
The above characteristics are specific to Bitcoin ETFs, and they bring certain advantages and disadvantages.

Pros:

Regulated financial product
It can be included in specialized portfolios like retirement or 401(k)
Backed by regulated and reputable providers like BlackRock
Cons:

Investors do not own the underlying BTC
There might be a premium on the ETF compared to the BTC NAV
Limited trading hours and higher fees
Buying BTC Directly
As opposed to ETFs, buying Bitcoin directly provides you with ownership over the BTC, regardless of whether you buy it from an exchange or P2P.

Of course, if you do buy it through an exchange such as Binance, you should consider self-custody. This means that you should take your BTC off the exchange and transfer it into a cold wallet such as Trezor or Ledger, where you control the private keys.

In crypto, there’s a popular saying that goes like this:

“Not your keys, not your Bitcoin.”

This also comes with certain responsibilities. Keeping your crypto safe can be a challenging task, especially if you have no prior experience. Worry not, however, as we’ve prepared a detailed guide on what you can do to make sure your BTC is safe.

9 Tips for Securing Your Bitcoin and Crypto Wallets You Must Follow

Just as it is with ETFs, buying Bitcoin directly has its specifics. Here’s a quick summary.

btc_etf3

Trades on cryptocurrency exchanges
You can’t buy Bitcoin on the New York Stock Exchange. You have to use a cryptocurrency exchange. The most popular ones are Binance (outside of the US) and Coinbase (US).

Investors get direct ownership of BTC
Once you buy spot BTC on a cryptocurrency exchange – you own it. You can transfer it out of the exchange to a cold storage, or you can use it to trade against other altcoins such as Ethereum.

Acquisition fees vary between crypto exchanges
Unlike ETFs, there’s no Sponsor fee. There are, however, trading fees associated with buying and selling BTC, and they vary based on the cryptocurrency exchange of choice.

Managed by you
Since you have complete ownership over the BTC you bought, you are also responsible for its safety. Self-custody comes with certain challenges, and it’s imperative that you learn about cold storage and how to keep your crypto safe.

Trades 24/7, irrespective of traditional working hours
Cryptocurrency exchanges work around the clock, so there are no limitations in terms of trading hours or weekends.

Direct exposure to the BTC price
You don’t have to worry about differences in the price of the ETF and the net asset’s value. You’re as exposed to the BTC price as it’s physically possible.

Pros and Cons of Buying BTC Directly
Here are the advantages and disadvantages:

Pros:

You get direct ownership of the BTC you buy
You can get full control through self-custody
Unlimited trading hours and lower fees
Cons:

Storing your BTC can be challenging and requires higher technical expertise
Can’t include it in traditional retirement plans and 401(k)
Not recognized as a financial instrument
Bitcoin ETF vs. Buying BTC Directly: What’s Better?
The above comprises the most essential differences between a spot Bitcoin ETF and buying BTC directly.

There’s no one answer as to which is better, and it strongly depends on the individual preferences and needs of the investor.

For instance, if you’re not tech-savvy, not interested in trading BTC against other altcoins, want long-term exposure without having to worry about safekeeping your crypto, and don’t mind the higher fees, an ETF might be the better option.

However, if you are well-versed in the crypto field and prefer direct ownership of BTC because you want to either safely store it on your cold wallet or you want to trade it actively against other altcoins, then perhaps buying BTC directly is the way to go.

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