Bitcoin Price Forecast

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14 May 2024
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Bitcoin Price Forecast: How Trends Will Be Shaped by US Macroeconomic Data, Including CPI


  • Future CPI figures as well as other economic statistics could have an impact on Bitcoin's price patterns.
  • The 2024 halving is expected to lower mining rewards, which might have an impact on market stability and the mining ecosystem as a whole.

The 2024 Bitcoin Halving is expected to be a significant event, with mining rewards halving to 3.125 bitcoins per block, in keeping with VanEck's earlier predictions. This cut is probably going to have a significant impact on the mining industry because it will change profitability and accelerate technological developments in the field. Such occurrences have historically caused the mining community to adapt to lower incentives, which may have an impact on the hash rate and general security of the network.

The Federal Reserve and Market Dynamics

The cryptocurrency markets have stagnated, with a total market capitalization of $2.38 trillion, according to the most recent research by Binance. The economic calendar for this week is crucial because it includes many speeches by the Federal Reserve and important inflation statistics that could influence the path of US monetary policy. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Core Producer Price Index (PPI) are noteworthy reports that are crucial for assessing inflationary pressures and their effects on the state of the economy and Federal Reserve policy.

These are the five important takeaways from Binance's most recent update, which was released today:


  1. Update on the Cryptocurrency Markets: After declining last week, the overall capitalization of cryptocurrencies fell to $2.38 trillion over the weekend.
  2. Economic Indicators: The release of important inflation statistics and multiple speeches by the Federal Reserve this week could lead to volatility and potentially influence future monetary policy decisions.
  3. Reports on Inflation and the Economy: The Core Producer Price Index (PPI), which is scheduled for release on Tuesday, is a key gauge of inflationary pressures. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), on the other hand, is scheduled for release on Wednesday and is a significant predictor of economic trends and Federal Reserve policy.
  4. Federal Reserve Communications: There are twelve Federal Reserve speaker events this week, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday, which will provide details on potential changes to the Fed's policies.
  5. Business and Consumer Outlooks: According to a recent Conference Board survey, most American CEOs expect the Federal Reserve to lower rates just little this year. Market forecasts, however, point to the possibility of two rate cuts, the first of which might occur in September.

Renowned analyst Mark Cullen highlighted the significance of current price levels in a recent tweet, speculating about possible moves based on short-term market habits. According to a Conference Board survey, the majority of American CEOs are expecting the Federal Reserve to lower rates just little this year; market forecasts point to two reductions, the first of which is probably scheduled for September.

Market Forecasts in the Face of Economic Volatility

The Bitcoin market pays great attention to central bank policies and macroeconomic statistics, in line with the opinions of financial analysts and large institutions. This opinion was further supported by a recent CNF piece that revealed Standard Chartered is still bullish on Bitcoin and has stuck to a $150,000 price estimate by year's end despite recent price declines. The rise of ETFs and market cyclicity are credited for this bullish prognosis, highlighting the impact of financial instruments on cryptocurrency pricing. As of this writing, Bitcoin has increased by 2.61% in the last day to trade at $63,145.

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