MicroStrategy
Good morning/evening
As part of my ongoing thoughts on buying stocks, I am taking a look at MicroStrategy.
MicroStrategy: What You Need to Know Before Investing
1. What is MicroStrategy?
MicroStrategy is a software company that specializes in business intelligence (BI). It develops tools that help companies analyze large amounts of data to make better decisions. The company offers a platform that enables businesses to create reports, dashboards, and data visualizations.
MicroStrategy's software is used by organizations in various industries like finance, retail, and healthcare to gain insights into their performance, customers, and markets.
2. Why is MicroStrategy Unique?
MicroStrategy stands out for two main reasons:
- Data Analytics Expertise: It has been a leader in BI software for decades. Its tools are powerful, highly customizable, and widely respected in the tech space.
- Bitcoin Holdings: The company is also famous for its massive investment in Bitcoin. Since 2020, MicroStrategy has purchased billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin, making it a unique mix of a tech company and a cryptocurrency investment vehicle.
3. MicroStrategy’s Business Model
The company earns money primarily through:
- Software Licenses: Companies pay to use their BI tools.
- Subscription Services: Customers pay ongoing fees for cloud-based services.
- Consulting and Support: MicroStrategy helps clients implement and optimize its software.
At the same time, its Bitcoin holdings have become a significant part of its value, especially as Bitcoin’s price fluctuates.
4. Key Strengths of MicroStrategy
- Established Reputation: MicroStrategy is a trusted name in the BI software market, competing with companies like Tableau (owned by Salesforce) and Power BI (by Microsoft).
- Bitcoin Exposure: For investors who believe in Bitcoin’s long-term growth, MicroStrategy provides indirect exposure to cryptocurrency through its stock.
5. Risks to Consider
Before investing, keep these potential risks in mind:
- Bitcoin Volatility: The company’s stock price is heavily tied to the price of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin drops, so might MicroStrategy’s stock.
- Competition: The BI market is very competitive, with big players like Microsoft and Google offering similar tools.
- Concentration Risk: MicroStrategy’s heavy focus on Bitcoin is unusual for a software company, which might concern investors looking for stability.
6. Financial Performance
MicroStrategy’s revenue from its software business is stable, but its stock price can swing widely due to Bitcoin prices. This makes it a high-risk, potentially high-reward investment.
7. Who Should Invest?
MicroStrategy might appeal to you if:
- You believe in the growth of Bitcoin and want indirect exposure.
- You’re interested in the BI software market.
- You’re comfortable with higher-risk, volatile investments.
On the other hand, it might not be a good fit if you prefer steady, predictable returns or aren’t confident about Bitcoin’s future.
Investing in MicroStrategy (MSTR) versus directly in Bitcoin (BTC) has unique advantages and disadvantages, depending on your investment goals and risk tolerance. Here’s a breakdown of the key benefits of choosing MicroStrategy over Bitcoin:
1. Indirect Exposure to Bitcoin with Added Benefits of Equity
MicroStrategy serves as a "Bitcoin proxy" because it holds a large amount of Bitcoin on its balance sheet. By buying MicroStrategy stock, you get exposure to Bitcoin price movements, but with added benefits associated with equity investment, such as dividends (if applicable in the future), corporate governance, and potential profits from the company’s software business.
2. Diversification of Revenue Streams
MicroStrategy is not solely reliant on Bitcoin for its value. It also operates a successful business intelligence and enterprise software company, which generates revenue. This dual nature could provide a cushion if Bitcoin prices fall, compared to holding BTC directly.
3. Regulation and Stock Market Protections
MicroStrategy is traded on the NASDAQ, meaning:
- It's subject to SEC regulations and audits.
- Investors enjoy protections like disclosures of financial health and company strategy, which don’t exist with Bitcoin investments.
- Stocks are typically easier to hold in tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s.
4. Institutional Support and Visibility
MicroStrategy has become a symbol of institutional adoption of Bitcoin, with its CEO Michael Saylor often championing the cryptocurrency. Holding MicroStrategy gives you exposure to a company that benefits from this narrative without directly holding the cryptocurrency itself.
5. Leveraged Bitcoin Exposure
MicroStrategy has used debt and convertible bonds to buy Bitcoin, essentially providing leveraged exposure to Bitcoin's price. When Bitcoin's price rises, the leverage could amplify stock returns compared to Bitcoin itself.
6. Potential Tax Advantages
In some jurisdictions, selling Bitcoin may trigger capital gains taxes immediately. However, selling MicroStrategy stock can be treated as a regular stock transaction, which might have different tax implications, such as losses offsetting gains.
7. Dividends or Corporate Restructuring Potential
If MicroStrategy decides to distribute Bitcoin or issue dividends based on its holdings in the future, investors in the stock could receive additional value. Bitcoin holders do not earn dividends.
8. Accessibility
For traditional investors, buying MicroStrategy through a brokerage account might be more straightforward than purchasing Bitcoin directly, which requires setting up a wallet, managing keys, and dealing with exchanges.
9. Hedge Against Bitcoin’s Volatility
Because MicroStrategy is a hybrid company, its stock might not follow Bitcoin's price movements perfectly. This could serve as a hedge if Bitcoin experiences significant volatility. While the correlation is high, MSTR also reacts to broader equity market trends, giving it different risk/reward dynamics.
10. Institutional Adoption and Market Sentiment
MicroStrategy stock is a recognizable vehicle for Bitcoin exposure in institutional portfolios, particularly in funds restricted from directly holding cryptocurrencies. This demand can add liquidity and potentially boost stock prices.
Caveat: Risks and Drawbacks
- MicroStrategy’s stock is highly correlated to Bitcoin, so it doesn’t eliminate Bitcoin’s inherent volatility. In fact, its leverage can amplify losses during a bear market.
- If Bitcoin prices stagnate, MicroStrategy’s value might also stagnate, especially if its core business underperforms.
- Owning MicroStrategy stock does not give you the same autonomy and direct control as owning Bitcoin in a personal wallet.
In summary, investing in MicroStrategy offers Bitcoin exposure plus the benefits of a publicly traded company, such as diversification, stock market protections, and potential tax advantages. However, it’s less flexible than directly owning Bitcoin, and the stock’s performance is still heavily tied to Bitcoin’s price movements.
MicroStrategy is a unique mix of a traditional software company and a Bitcoin investment. It could be a good opportunity if you're bullish on Bitcoin and data analytics. However, its reliance on Bitcoin also makes it riskier than most software companies.
As always thank you for reading and feel free to comment.
Image from https://www.microstrategy.com/