[βππ§ππ£] ππππ ππ π¦π£ πΉππ₯ππ ππ - Lady Crypto Only Goes PARABO Once
As a man I struggle, because I like to follow a simple process to obtain my goal.
The thing is a woman sometimes only needs a little caressing, a stroke of her inner thigh to set things into motion.
That same woman, at other times, needs diamonds & pearls, and a handwritten poem just to warm up to the idea of being intimate.
Crypto has a similar attitude;
Crypto is like a woman, you never know when she is gonna Peak!
Steady As She Peaks
Of course, I have learned about crypto cycles.
I wish I had learned a bit more about them before the last bull market ended, especially about the expected timelines, but hey better late than never.
At least now I know what to expect high level, but when will she reach that level? What is that level? Are there telltale signs that sheΒ΄s peaking?
When it comes to women, yes there are but it can be a fake-out and actually the same applies to crypto.If you want to know the telltale signs a woman gives out you are reading the wrong post... I will focus on crypto although I probably could write the one on women as well, I am less of a nerd than you might think!
DonΒ΄t FUD It
Before you get all FUD up, I am trying to go for an early climax here. That does not mean I think the Bull is dead already. Definitely not, but I prefer an early orgasm to being a bag holder with blue balls.
ItΒ΄s like bringing condoms, you better come prepared.
So far I am seeing the exact same thing happening as in 2021. The Christmas dip and then come Jan a trip to a new ATH by April. Do I think this old lady called crypto will peak only once this cycle? Or will she have multiple peaks as she did in 2021?
That is actually not the question.
The question is why would you bet on her coming twice?
Does She Come Twice?
For me the answer is simple, I am already happy if she comes once.
Crypto is not the gift that keeps giving. Unless you think in 4-year cycles and ignore all the dead shit coins that never got it back up.
That is why I started selling two months ago, I sell every time when she peaks a little. Just to make sure I will not miss out on that final blast-off by thinking that she might peak even louder.
And as (till now) the movement mirrors the 2021 movement, I think my plan to sell all by May 2025 remains valid.
The end of the Bull Run of 2021 was in May 2021, not in November. Many will argue about that statement but the end of a bull is when the PARABO stops:
ADA was the perfect example, from 10 cents to a dollar between Jan -May 2021.
Then the PARABO stopped, and so did the bull.
Why did we not dump straightaway?
Wen Down?
What signs tell us that our Dear Lady Crypto is Satisfied?
FOMO and Retail Mania: The PARABO causes a surge in retail investors entering the market driven by fear of missing out (FOMO).
Declining Trading Volume
But as soon as the PARABO stops there is a drop in trading volume, this indicates waning interest and lower demand, which precedes a market downturn.
As soon as the trading volume drops keep an eye on the sentiment!
Sentiment Reversal
Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) will follow a drop in trading volume. Negative news cycles, such as regulatory crackdowns or major security breaches, can shift market sentiment from optimism to fear.
A noticeable increase in pessimistic posts on X still *better known as Twitter) will ignite a Bearish sentiment within the crypto community.
Diminishing Institutional Interest
As soon as the community starts funding institutional investors start selling their holdings or pausing further investments.
Profit-Taking by Long-Term Holders
Together with the institutions long-term investors (HODLers) start selling off their holdings after going PARABO because they know Lady Cryptto has peaked.
Macro-Economic Pressures
It gets even worse when not just the Cycle ends, but MACRO economic concerns chime in as well.
Rising Interest Rates: Tighter monetary policies can reduce speculative investments in high-risk assets like crypto.
Stock Market Correlation: If traditional markets experience a downturn, it often impacts crypto as well.
Strengthening US Dollar: A strong dollar can lead to reduced demand for alternative assets like cryptocurrencies.
Although these do not automatically link to the end of a bull market, they will bring down the financial market even more.
Bearish Technical Patterns
I am not a Chart Baby, I prefer to read the signs but yes TA also shows the Bull dying by:
- Double Tops
- Head and Shoulders
- Bearish Divergence (when prices rise but momentum indicators like RSI decline).
- Falling Moving averages (e.g., 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day moving average, known as a death cross).
Basically, everything starts stalling, even on positive news the market hardly moves. Crypto Fatigue sets in and the bull is dead.
In 2021 that top ended in a crazy meme coin pump because the liquidity moved from BTC, to ETH, to Blue Chips, to Low Caps, and in 2021 ended in the MEME coins.
That might not happen this time around as meme coins are not what they used to be, so maybe micro-caps will explode by May The 5TH.
There is definitely a chance of a double top in 2025, and a second peak in November 2025. But I'd rather be sure and take that one peak instead of betting on a second one that never comes....because a lady only comes when she feels like it.
Bikini Bottom Line
These signs provide clues, use them all as no single indicator guarantees the end of a bull market.
All you can do is stay in tune with the market, the cycle, and watch for the signs. We only go PARABO once!
Most importantly donΒ΄t buy into the idea crypto will pump forever, the lady comes once or twice and then goes to bed for another three years.
I sold my Bitcoin
last week I told you how I sold about $600 BTC and BTC back then it was 1% down on the month. LetΒ΄s see how the weekly score looks:
BTC is up 7% on the week making it $642
I swapped BTC and Bought:
ETH: $150 9% up on the week = 163
Beam $125 10% up on the week = 137
Sui: $175 30% up on the week = 227
Sol: $100 14% up on the week = 114
Curve $50 7% Up on the week = 53.5
Total $694.5 so I did a 14% up in average over the week and 4% up previous month, so far my baby powerplay seems to be the correct decision.
Let's see if my plan keeps playing out, if indeed the ALTS will peak much more than BTC over the next 5 months.
Show Me The Fiat
Okay last but not least, my latest update!
Last week I sold 18% of what I was holding in my sell portfolio on Bitvavo.
Even though I sold it was not significant. Prices increased so my fiat diminished compared to being a percentage of the total.
I have now sold 18.5% of my holdings and I have four more months to sell the rest. I really need to be spot on to this PARABO happening before May, let's see next week.
I really need to be spot on to this PARABO happening before May, let's see next week.
Thank goodness you made it till the end Pees, Love and I am out of here!
